SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 42.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 1-0 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rodez AF | Draw | Caen |
28.7% ( 0.06) | 28.93% ( -0) | 42.37% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.45% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.21% ( 0.04) | 62.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.68% ( 0.03) | 82.31% ( -0.03) |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.07) | 38.5% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.75% ( 0.06) | 75.25% ( -0.06) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( -0.01) | 29.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.68% ( -0.01) | 65.32% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rodez AF | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.7% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.92% | 0-1 @ 13.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 42.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 62 |
| 3 | Metz | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 59 |
| 4 | Bastia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 53 |
| 5 | Sochaux | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 52 |
| 6 | Caen | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 52 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 50 |
| 8 | GuingampGuingamp | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Quevilly | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Paris FCParis FC | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | AmiensAmiens | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | PauPau | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | Annecy | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 37 |
| 17 | Laval | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Nimes | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Dijon | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 27 |
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