SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rodez AF | Draw | Sochaux |
29.34% ( -0.03) | 28.37% ( 0.05) | 42.29% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.22% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.26% ( -0.17) | 60.74% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.2% ( -0.13) | 80.8% ( 0.13) |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% ( -0.12) | 36.85% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.36% ( -0.12) | 73.64% ( 0.12) |
| Sochaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( -0.09) | 28.39% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.86% ( -0.12) | 64.14% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rodez AF | Draw | Sochaux |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 29.34% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 42.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 28 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 25 | 57 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 49 |
| 4 | Metz | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 48 |
| 5 | Bastia | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Caen | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 43 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | GuingampGuingamp | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 | Paris FCParis FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Annecy | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 33 |
| 14 | Valenciennes | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | PauPau | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 33 |
| 16 | Laval | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 31 |
| 17 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 31 |
| 18 | Nimes | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
| 19 | NiortNiort | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 26 |
| 20 | Dijon | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 26 |
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