SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 28.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sochaux win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Sochaux |
43.23% ( -0.16) | 28.64% ( -0.13) | 28.13% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 43.9% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.91% ( 0.52) | 62.09% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.2% ( 0.38) | 81.8% ( -0.38) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( 0.17) | 28.53% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.68% ( 0.2) | 64.32% ( -0.2) |
| Sochaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% ( 0.54) | 38.57% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.68% ( 0.51) | 75.32% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Sochaux |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.57% Total : 28.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 65 |
| 2 | Metz | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 58 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 56 |
| 4 | Sochaux | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 52 |
| 5 | Caen | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 52 |
| 6 | Bastia | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 44 |
| 9 | Paris FCParis FC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | GuingampGuingamp | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 13 | PauPau | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 | AmiensAmiens | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 37 |
| 16 | Annecy | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 36 |
| 17 | Laval | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Dijon | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 | Nimes | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 29 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 27 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
