SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Rodez AF |
53.58% ( -1.19) | 27.37% ( 0.44) | 19.06% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 38.77% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.84% ( -0.53) | 64.16% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.7% ( -0.38) | 83.3% ( 0.38) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( -0.77) | 24.39% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.19% ( -1.09) | 58.81% ( 1.09) |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.27% ( 0.59) | 48.73% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.24% ( 0.42) | 83.76% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Rodez AF |
| 1-0 @ 16.77% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.1% Total : 53.58% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.07% Total : 19.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Laval | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Auxerre | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Grenoble | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Angers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 8 | PauPau | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | AmiensAmiens | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Ajaccio | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Caen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Annecy | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Bordeaux | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Bastia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | Concarneau | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Troyes | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Paris FCParis FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Quevilly | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
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