SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caen win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Pau has a probability of 28.13% and a draw has a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Pau win is 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.96%).
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Caen |
28.13% ( 1.65) | 27.76% ( 1.05) | 44.1% ( -2.7) |
| Both teams to score 46.24% ( -1.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.86% ( -2.88) | 59.14% ( 2.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.42% ( -2.28) | 79.58% ( 2.28) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( -0.21) | 36.94% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.27% ( -0.21) | 73.73% ( 0.21) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -2.64) | 26.67% ( 2.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.08% ( -3.61) | 61.92% ( 3.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.97) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.8% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 1.02)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.37)1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.42)0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.5)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.28)Other @ 1.96% Total : 44.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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