SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rodez AF | Draw | Pau |
40.83% ( 0.05) | 28.43% ( -0.13) | 30.73% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.61% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.47% ( 0.48) | 60.53% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.36% ( 0.36) | 80.64% ( -0.36) |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0.27) | 29.1% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.98% ( 0.32) | 65.02% ( -0.33) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% ( 0.32) | 35.67% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.56% ( 0.33) | 72.44% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rodez AF | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 40.83% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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