SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dijon | Draw | Guingamp |
38.77% ( 0.44) | 28.34% ( 0.2) | 32.89% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.28% ( -0.81) | 59.71% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.98% ( -0.62) | 80.02% ( 0.62) |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( -0.13) | 29.9% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34% ( -0.16) | 66% ( 0.16) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( -0.86) | 33.67% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.68% ( -0.95) | 70.32% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dijon | Draw | Guingamp |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.33% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 55 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Metz | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | Bastia | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 41 |
| 6 | Caen | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Quevilly | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | Grenoble | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | AmiensAmiens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Annecy | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 | Valenciennes | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Paris FCParis FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Laval | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
| 16 | PauPau | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Dijon | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 26 |
| 18 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
| 19 | Nimes | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 23 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 23 |
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