Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
