SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guingamp | Draw | Bastia |
43.84% ( -0.01) | 27.77% ( -0.01) | 28.4% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.39% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.97% ( 0.03) | 59.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.51% ( 0.02) | 79.49% ( -0.02) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0.01) | 26.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.97% ( 0.01) | 62.03% ( -0.01) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( 0.03) | 36.67% ( -0.03) |
