SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Saint-Etienne | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Nimes | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Grenoble | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Bastia | 7 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 | Saint-Etienne | 7 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nimes | Draw | Bastia |
41.71% ( 1.21) | 27.87% ( 0.09) | 30.42% ( -1.3) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.37% ( -0.68) | 58.63% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% ( -0.54) | 79.18% ( 0.54) |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( 0.34) | 27.7% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.74% ( 0.44) | 63.26% ( -0.44) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( -1.31) | 34.89% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.38% ( -1.41) | 71.62% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nimes | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.83% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.16% Total : 30.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 55 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | Metz | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | Bastia | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 41 |
| 6 | Caen | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Quevilly | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | Grenoble | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | AmiensAmiens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Annecy | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 | Valenciennes | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Paris FCParis FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Laval | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
| 16 | PauPau | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Dijon | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 26 |
| 18 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
| 19 | Nimes | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 23 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 23 |
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