SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Guingamp |
30.63% ( -0.02) | 28.43% ( -0.01) | 40.93% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.58% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.45% ( 0.02) | 60.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.34% ( 0.02) | 80.65% ( -0.02) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% ( -0.01) | 35.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.47% ( -0.01) | 72.53% ( 0.01) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( 0.03) | 29.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.03% ( 0.04) | 64.96% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Guingamp |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 12.84% 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 40.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 23 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 39 |
| 4 | Grenoble | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 37 |
| 5 | Metz | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 36 |
| 6 | Quevilly | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Bastia | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | AmiensAmiens | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 33 |
| 9 | Caen | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Annecy | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 29 |
| 12 | Valenciennes | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Paris FCParis FC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 | Laval | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | PauPau | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 24 |
| 17 | Nimes | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 23 |
| 18 | NiortNiort | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 23 |
| 19 | Dijon | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
| 20 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 21 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
