SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 46.62%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Niort had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Niort | Draw | Dijon |
25.34% ( -0.06) | 28.03% ( -0.05) | 46.62% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.66% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.54% ( 0.11) | 61.46% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.66% ( 0.08) | 81.34% ( -0.09) |
| Niort Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.37% ( 0.01) | 40.63% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.78% ( 0.01) | 77.22% ( -0.02) |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( 0.1) | 26.46% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.36% ( 0.14) | 61.64% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niort | Draw | Dijon |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.3% Total : 25.34% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 14.29% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 46.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 47 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 39 |
| 4 | Grenoble | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 | Bastia | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 34 |
| 6 | Metz | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 33 |
| 7 | AmiensAmiens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Caen | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | Quevilly | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Annecy | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 28 |
| 12 | Paris FCParis FC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | GuingampGuingamp | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 | Laval | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 27 |
| 15 | PauPau | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 26 |
| 16 | Nimes | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Dijon | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 18 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
| 19 | NiortNiort | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
| 20 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 18 |
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