SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Pau had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Concarneau | Draw | Pau |
47.18% ( 0.2) | 25.96% ( -0.23) | 26.86% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.8% ( 0.88) | 53.19% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% ( 0.74) | 74.75% ( -0.74) |
| Concarneau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( 0.46) | 22.54% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.88% ( 0.68) | 56.12% ( -0.69) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.23% ( 0.49) | 34.76% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.5% ( 0.52) | 71.49% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concarneau | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.17% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Auxerre | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
| 3 | Grenoble | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | Laval | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | PauPau | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Caen | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Bastia | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Troyes | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Concarneau | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Annecy | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 18 | Quevilly | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Valenciennes | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 11 |
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