SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Laval | Draw | Concarneau |
41.35% ( -0.02) | 28.16% ( -0.05) | 30.49% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.27% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.35% ( 0.2) | 59.65% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.03% ( 0.15) | 79.97% ( -0.15) |
| Laval Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( 0.08) | 28.39% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.86% ( 0.11) | 64.14% ( -0.1) |
| Concarneau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.62% ( 0.16) | 35.38% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.86% ( 0.17) | 72.14% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Laval | Draw | Concarneau |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.34% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Auxerre | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
| 3 | Grenoble | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | Laval | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | PauPau | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Caen | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Bastia | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Troyes | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Concarneau | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Annecy | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 18 | Quevilly | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Valenciennes | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 11 |
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