SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Troyes win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Concarneau |
35.61% ( 0.05) | 24.87% ( -0) | 39.52% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( 0.02) | 45.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( 0.01) | 67.52% ( -0.01) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( 0.03) | 24.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.61% ( 0.05) | 59.39% ( -0.04) |
| Concarneau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0.02) | 22.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.59% ( -0.02) | 56.41% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Concarneau |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.61% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Laval | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 33 |
| 2 | Angers | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Grenoble | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 | PauPau | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | GuingampGuingamp | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Ajaccio | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 24 |
| 8 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 | Paris FCParis FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Caen | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Annecy | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Concarneau | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Bastia | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
| 17 | Troyes | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
| 18 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 13 |
| 19 | Quevilly | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 12 |
| 20 | Valenciennes | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 11 |
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