SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rodez AF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rodez AF | Draw | Troyes |
44.29% ( -0.03) | 25.5% ( 0.02) | 30.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% ( -0.07) | 49.49% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.47% ( -0.06) | 71.52% ( 0.06) |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( -0.04) | 22.3% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.24% ( -0.06) | 55.76% ( 0.06) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( -0.03) | 30.29% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.53% ( -0.03) | 66.47% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rodez AF | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Laval | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Angers | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Grenoble | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | PauPau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | GuingampGuingamp | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Caen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 12 | Annecy | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Concarneau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Bastia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Paris FCParis FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Troyes | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Quevilly | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
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