SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Auxerre |
36.14% ( -0.02) | 25.17% | 38.7% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.53% ( -0) | 46.47% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.25% ( -0) | 68.75% ( 0) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( -0.01) | 25.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.18% ( -0.02) | 59.82% ( 0.02) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( 0.01) | 23.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.13% ( 0.01) | 57.87% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.14% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.89% 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Laval | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Angers | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Grenoble | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | PauPau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | GuingampGuingamp | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Caen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 12 | Annecy | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Concarneau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Bastia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Paris FCParis FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Troyes | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Quevilly | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
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