SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amiens | Draw | Concarneau |
40.2% ( 0.04) | 27.68% ( -0.02) | 32.12% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% ( 0.07) | 57.51% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.7% ( 0.05) | 78.3% ( -0.05) |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( 0.05) | 28.01% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.35% ( 0.07) | 63.65% ( -0.07) |
| Concarneau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( 0.03) | 33.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.35% ( 0.03) | 69.66% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amiens | Draw | Concarneau |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Auxerre | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
| 3 | Grenoble | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | Laval | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | PauPau | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Caen | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Bastia | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Troyes | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Concarneau | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Annecy | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 18 | Quevilly | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Valenciennes | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 11 |
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