SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Pau had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Angers |
35.19% ( 0.03) | 26.99% ( -0.01) | 37.82% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.63% ( 0.03) | 54.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.25% ( 0.02) | 75.75% ( -0.02) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( 0.03) | 29.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.55% ( 0.04) | 65.45% ( -0.04) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% | 27.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.53% ( -0) | 63.47% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Auxerre | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
| 3 | Grenoble | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | Laval | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | PauPau | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Caen | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Bastia | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Troyes | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Concarneau | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Annecy | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 18 | Quevilly | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Valenciennes | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 11 |
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