SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Caen had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Caen |
41.86% ( -1.4) | 28.25% ( 0.51) | 29.89% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 45.78% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.84% ( -1.44) | 60.16% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.64% ( -1.11) | 80.36% ( 1.11) |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( -1.43) | 28.35% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.91% ( -1.84) | 64.09% ( 1.85) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% ( -0.09) | 36.11% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.11% ( -0.09) | 72.89% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.69% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.53)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.95% Total : 29.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Laval | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Angers | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Grenoble | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | PauPau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | GuingampGuingamp | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Caen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 12 | Annecy | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Concarneau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Bastia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Paris FCParis FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Troyes | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Quevilly | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
