SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Grenoble |
49.8% ( 0.07) | 27.35% | 22.84% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.15% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.07% ( -0.05) | 60.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% ( -0.04) | 80.94% ( 0.03) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( 0.01) | 24.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.79% ( 0.01) | 59.21% ( -0.02) |
| Grenoble Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.29% ( -0.09) | 42.71% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.96% ( -0.08) | 79.04% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Grenoble |
| 1-0 @ 14.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.2% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.06% Total : 22.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Laval | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Angers | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Grenoble | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | PauPau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | GuingampGuingamp | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Caen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 12 | Annecy | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Concarneau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Bastia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Paris FCParis FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Troyes | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Quevilly | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
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