SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Bordeaux |
19.85% ( 0.02) | 24.81% ( 0) | 55.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.02% ( 0.01) | 54.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% ( 0.01) | 76.26% ( -0.01) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.59% ( 0.02) | 42.41% ( -0.02) |
