Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
