Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Niort had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 1-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
