Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
