Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 48.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Caen had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris FC in this match.
