Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
