SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Rennes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rennes.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Strasbourg |
65.49% ( 0.02) | 19.51% ( 0.15) | 15% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.25% ( -1.05) | 40.75% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.86% ( -1.09) | 63.14% ( 1.09) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( -0.3) | 11.65% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.3% ( -0.65) | 36.7% ( 0.66) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.19% ( -0.88) | 39.81% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.53% ( -0.82) | 76.48% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.83% Total : 65.48% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.51% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.84% Total : 15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nice | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | Reims | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Lille | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Brest | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | NantesNantes | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 8 | Marseille | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Rennes | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Le HavreLe Havre | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Lorient | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 8 |
| 16 | Metz | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Clermont | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Lyon | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 3 |
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