SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Toulouse |
40.48% ( -0.02) | 24.95% ( -0.02) | 34.57% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.3% ( 0.1) | 45.7% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.98% ( 0.09) | 68.02% ( -0.09) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( 0.03) | 22.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.95% ( 0.05) | 56.05% ( -0.04) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.07) | 25.65% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.45% ( 0.09) | 60.55% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.48% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Nice | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Clermont | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Brest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 11 |
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