SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
63.95% ( 0.24) | 19.74% ( -0.07) | 16.31% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.82% ( -0.01) | 39.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.49% ( -0.01) | 61.51% ( 0.01) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.39% ( 0.06) | 11.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.4% ( 0.13) | 36.6% ( -0.13) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( -0.21) | 37.16% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.05% ( -0.21) | 73.94% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.05% Total : 63.95% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.74% | 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Brest | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Le HavreLe Havre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Reims | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | NantesNantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Clermont | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
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