SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 68.19%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Angers |
68.19% ( -0.41) | 19.05% ( 0.18) | 12.76% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.27) | 43.74% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( -0.27) | 66.13% ( 0.27) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.21% ( -0.19) | 11.79% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63% ( -0.4) | 37% ( 0.4) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.03% ( 0.19) | 44.97% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.09% ( 0.15) | 80.91% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Angers |
| 2-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 68.18% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.05% | 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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