SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lens |
29.31% ( 0.16) | 25.21% ( 0.09) | 45.48% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( -0.29) | 48.7% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( -0.26) | 70.81% ( 0.26) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( -0.03) | 30.53% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.24% ( -0.04) | 66.76% ( 0.04) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( -0.23) | 21.42% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.57% ( -0.36) | 54.43% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
| 2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
| 3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | Lille | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 60 |
| 6 | Rennes | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 59 |
| 7 | Lyon | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
| 9 | Lorient | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 52 |
| 10 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
| 11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 44 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
| 15 | Brest | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 33 |
| R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
| R | Troyes | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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