SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Angers |
69.37% ( -0.16) | 18.56% ( 0.07) | 12.07% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% ( -0.07) | 43.26% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% ( -0.07) | 65.65% ( 0.07) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.67% ( -0.06) | 11.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.99% ( -0.13) | 36.01% ( 0.14) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.21% ( 0.11) | 45.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.44% ( 0.09) | 81.56% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Angers |
| 2-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 69.37% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.56% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 75 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 72 |
| 3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 56 |
| 8 | Nice | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 51 |
| 9 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Reims | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 11 | Clermont | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 23 |
| 19 | Troyes | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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