SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Reims had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Reims |
38.72% ( 0.03) | 27.34% ( -0) | 33.94% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.12% ( 0.02) | 55.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.01% ( 0.01) | 76.99% ( -0.01) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( 0.03) | 28.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.28% ( 0.03) | 63.72% ( -0.03) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69% ( -0.01) | 31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.7% ( -0.01) | 67.3% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 36 | 27 | 3 | 6 | 86 | 36 | 50 | 84 |
| 2 | Lens | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 62 | 28 | 34 | 78 |
| 3 | Marseille | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 73 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 65 |
| 5 | Lille | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 63 |
| 6 | Rennes | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 62 |
| 7 | Lyon | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 59 |
| 8 | Clermont | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 53 |
| 9 | Nice | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Lorient | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 44 |
| 14 | Brest | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 36 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 15 |
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