SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Angers |
44.37% ( -0.14) | 26.35% ( 0.06) | 29.28% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( -0.23) | 53.4% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( -0.19) | 74.93% ( 0.19) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( -0.17) | 23.94% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.83% ( -0.24) | 58.17% ( 0.24) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( -0.06) | 32.98% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.43% ( -0.07) | 69.57% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 36 | 27 | 3 | 6 | 86 | 36 | 50 | 84 |
| 2 | Lens | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 62 | 28 | 34 | 78 |
| 3 | Marseille | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 73 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 65 |
| 5 | Lille | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 63 |
| 6 | Rennes | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 62 |
| 7 | Lyon | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 59 |
| 8 | Clermont | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 53 |
| 9 | Nice | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Lorient | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 44 |
| 14 | Brest | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 36 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 15 |
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