SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lens |
27.42% ( 0.09) | 24.86% ( -0.03) | 47.72% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% ( 0.18) | 48.34% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( 0.16) | 70.48% ( -0.16) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( 0.16) | 31.74% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.83% ( 0.19) | 68.17% ( -0.18) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( 0.05) | 20.3% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.33% ( 0.08) | 52.67% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.42% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 47.71% |
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