SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Nice |
31.8% ( 0.12) | 24.59% ( -0.01) | 43.61% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.14% ( 0.1) | 44.87% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% ( 0.1) | 67.22% ( -0.09) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( 0.13) | 26.93% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.74% ( 0.16) | 62.26% ( -0.15) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( 0) | 20.67% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% | 53.26% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Nice |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.8% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.61% |
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