SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
41.07% ( -0.16) | 26.29% ( -0.05) | 32.63% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% ( 0.27) | 51.96% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( 0.23) | 73.71% ( -0.23) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( 0.03) | 24.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% ( 0.05) | 59.61% ( -0.05) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 0.28) | 29.9% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( 0.33) | 65.99% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.63% |
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