SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
34.69% ( 0.22) | 23.77% ( -0.03) | 41.54% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.89% ( 0.2) | 40.1% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( 0.21) | 62.47% ( -0.21) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( 0.21) | 22.97% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.25% ( 0.32) | 56.75% ( -0.32) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0) | 19.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.45% ( 0) | 51.55% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.69% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 41.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 73 | 30 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
| 3 | Marseille | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 61 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 55 |
| 6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
| 8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Nice | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Clermont | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 32 |
| 15 | NantesNantes | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Brest | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 29 |
| 18 | Troyes | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 31 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 31 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 66 | -42 | 14 |
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