SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.05%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
12.8% ( -0.05) | 20.31% ( -0.01) | 66.88% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.95% ( -0.07) | 49.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.87% ( -0.06) | 71.12% ( 0.06) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.77% ( -0.13) | 48.22% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.6% ( -0.09) | 83.39% ( 0.09) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( -0.01) | 13.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.95% ( -0.01) | 41.04% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 4.84% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 12.8% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.61% Total : 20.31% | 0-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 13.05% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.7% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 66.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Nice | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Clermont | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Brest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 11 |
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