SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Nice |
58.11% ( 0.07) | 22.92% ( -0) | 18.97% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.23% ( -0.09) | 48.77% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.08) | 70.87% ( 0.08) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( -0.01) | 16.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.79% ( -0.02) | 46.21% ( 0.01) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.23% ( -0.13) | 39.77% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.56% ( -0.12) | 76.44% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.11% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Nice | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Brest | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Reims | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Lille | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | NantesNantes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Le HavreLe Havre | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Lorient | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Lyon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Clermont | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
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