SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 8.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
78.35% ( 0.08) | 12.91% ( -0.03) | 8.73% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.73% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.86% ( -0.07) | 25.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.89% ( -0.1) | 45.11% ( 0.09) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.89% ( -0) | 5.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.69% ( -0) | 20.31% ( 0) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( -0.18) | 39.16% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.12% ( -0.17) | 75.88% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 8.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 6.11% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.8% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 5.96% Total : 78.35% | 1-1 @ 5.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.91% | 1-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 8.73% |
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