Feb 27, 2023 at 1.05am UK at Estadio Nuevo Corona
Santos Laguna
3 - 2
Puebla
Preciado (33'),
Brunetta (45+2' pen., 52')
Correa (0'), Correa (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fernandez (77'), Martinez (90' pen.)
Silva (36'), Gularte (69'), Arce (81'),
Silva (90+6')
Arce Pena (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Puebla.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
| Result |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Puebla |
60.14% ( 0.96) | 20.84% ( -0.58) | 19.02% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( 1.34) |
| 60.42% ( 2.09) | 39.58% ( -2.09) |
| 38.08% ( 2.14) | 61.92% ( -2.14) |
| 87.21% ( 0.95) | 12.79% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.91% ( 1.93) | 39.09% ( -1.93) |
| 65.65% ( 0.83) | 34.35% ( -0.82) |
