Feb 11, 2023 at 1am UK at Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla
3 - 1
Mazatlan
Parra (10'), Martinez (27'), Gularte (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Loba (86')
Intriago (41')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Mazatlan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.
| Result |
| Puebla | Draw | Mazatlan |
56.92% ( 0.39) | 23.76% ( -0.16) | 19.32% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.36% ( 0.13) |
| 48.35% ( 0.36) | 51.65% ( -0.35) |
| 26.57% ( 0.31) | 73.43% ( -0.3) |
| 82.05% ( 0.28) | 17.95% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.21% ( 0.47) | 48.79% ( -0.47) |
| 58.95% ( -0.04) | 41.05% ( 0.05) |
