SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Santos Laguna |
42.38% ( -0.04) | 27.82% ( -0.01) | 29.8% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.93% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.31% ( 0.05) | 58.69% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.77% ( 0.04) | 79.23% ( -0.03) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% | 27.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.16% | 62.83% ( -0) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( 0.06) | 35.39% ( -0.06) |
