SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 56.32%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 21.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Pumas |
56.32% ( -0.22) | 21.79% ( 0.08) | 21.89% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.11% ( -0.19) | 39.89% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% ( -0.2) | 62.25% ( 0.21) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% ( -0.13) | 14.04% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.39% ( -0.26) | 41.61% ( 0.27) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 0.02) | 31.75% ( -0.01) |
