SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Toluca |
55.72% ( -0.41) | 23.3% ( 0.22) | 20.98% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.26% ( -0.73) | 47.74% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.07% ( -0.67) | 69.93% ( 0.67) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( -0.41) | 16.96% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.94% ( -0.72) | 47.06% ( 0.72) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( -0.23) | 37.05% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.16% ( -0.23) | 73.84% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.03% Total : 55.72% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Tigres | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
| 8 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Juarez | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 17 |
| 16 | PumasPumas | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Atlas | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 |
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