Feb 18, 2023 at 3.05am UK at Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla
1 - 3
Cruz Azul
Maia (77')
Aguilar (33'), Baltazar (90+4'),
Mancuello (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (45+1'), Dominguez (59'), Carneiro (63' pen.)
Rivero (78'), Dominguez (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Puebla | Draw | Cruz Azul |
40.14% ( 0.3) | 26.91% ( 0) | 32.95% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 50.74% ( -0.07) |
| 45.62% ( -0.05) | 54.39% ( 0.06) |
| 24.24% ( -0.04) | 75.76% ( 0.05) |
| 73.43% ( 0.14) | 26.57% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.22% ( 0.18) | 61.79% ( -0.17) |
| 69.1% ( -0.22) | 30.9% ( 0.22) |
