SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Tigres |
30.65% ( 0.7) | 27% ( 0.13) | 42.35% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 49.69% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% ( -0.23) | 55.35% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.44% ( -0.19) | 76.56% ( 0.19) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( 0.4) | 32.99% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.42% ( 0.43) | 69.57% ( -0.44) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( -0.53) | 25.84% ( 0.53) |
