SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Toluca |
49.99% ( -0.15) | 23.03% ( -0.01) | 26.98% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.51% ( 0.18) | 40.48% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.14% ( 0.19) | 62.86% ( -0.19) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( 0.01) | 16.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.99% ( 0.02) | 46% ( -0.03) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( 0.21) | 27.98% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.38% ( 0.26) | 63.61% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Toluca |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.99% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Tigres | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
| 8 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Juarez | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 17 |
| 16 | PumasPumas | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Atlas | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 |
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